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Bayesian estimation of financial models.

Authors :
Gray, Philip
Source :
Accounting & Finance; Jun2002, Vol. 42 Issue 2, p111-130, 20p, 3 Charts, 3 Graphs
Publication Year :
2002

Abstract

This paper outlines a general methodology for estimating the parameters of financial models commonly employed in the literature. A numerical Bayesian technique is utilised to obtain the posterior density of model parameters and functions thereof. Unlike maximum likelihood estimation, where inference is only justified in large samples, the Bayesian densities are exact for any sample size. A series of simulation studies are conducted to compare the properties of point estimates, the distribution of option and bond prices, and the power of specification tests under maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. Results suggest that maximum–likelihood–based asymptotic distributions have poor finite–sampleproperties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08105391
Volume :
42
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Accounting & Finance
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
7038211
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-629x.00070