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Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature.

Authors :
Murphy, Allan H.
Winkler, Robert L.
Source :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics); 1977, Vol. 26 Issue 1, p41, 7p
Publication Year :
1977

Abstract

SUMMARY This paper briefly describes some results of operational and experimental programmes in the United States involving subjective probability forecasts of precipitation occurrence and of maximum and minimum temperatures. These results indicate that weather forecasters can formulate such forecasts in a reliable manner. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00359254
Volume :
26
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
5921923
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.2307/2346866