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Modeling Optimal Intervention Strategies for Cholera.

Authors :
Neilan, Rachael L. Miller
Schaefer, Elsa
Gaff, Holly
Fister, K. Renee
Lenhart, Suzanne
Source :
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology; Nov2010, Vol. 72 Issue 8, p2004-2018, 15p
Publication Year :
2010

Abstract

While cholera has been a recognized disease for two centuries, there is no strategy for its effective control. We formulate a mathematical model to include essential components such as a hyperinfectious, short-lived bacterial state, a separate class for mild human infections, and waning disease immunity. A new result quantifies contributions to the basic reproductive number from multiple infectious classes. Using optimal control theory, parameter sensitivity analysis, and numerical simulations, a cost-effective balance of multiple intervention methods is compared for two endemic populations. Results provide a framework for designing cost-effective strategies for diseases with multiple intervention methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00928240
Volume :
72
Issue :
8
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
54456535
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-010-9521-8