Non—Linear Flood Assessment with Neural Network.

In our days, theoretical investigations are used in obtaining the mathematical model for the studied systems or processes. In general, the dynamics of the system are deeply nonlinear, complex or unknown. Generally speaking, such complex structure is a set of interconnected components. The common approach is therefore to start from measurements of the behavior of the system and the external influences (inputs) and try to determine a mathematical relation between them without going into the details of what is actually happening inside the system. Such strategy had known a great success during the time and it was applied for a large class of multifaceted processes. Accepting this approach, there could be investigated the climatic phenomena. In this paper is presented, in a comparative way, a non-linear water flood assessment made in a very sensitive area of the Lower Danube zone where, in the past years, a series of climatic problems have been happening. In these conditions, climatic risk factor management is a necessity. In a regular way, there could be considered and designed nonlinear models for the climatic factors’ analysis by using a huge historical evidence data archive. In a previous paper we reached a notable intermediary result basing on a mathematical model constructed on internal recurrent neural network structure. Such approach had been presented considering the internal state estimation when no measurements coming from the sensors are available for system states. A modified backpropagation algorithm had been introduced in order to train the internal recurrent neural networks for nonlinear system identification. In this paper is exposed a comparative study between a numerical advances based on fluid dynamics’ equations and our previous approach, based on internal recurrent neural networks (IRNN). The numerical approaching was made in order to succeed in building a physics model of a water flow evaluation and further, to achieve including the rainfall contributions. This condition is necessary for prediction and it is the first step toward a DSS—Decision Support System in the area. The relationship between the simulated results and the registered data allows considering our particular method to be useful for considered water flood assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]