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An Annual Midterm Energy Forecasting Model Using Fuzzy Logic.

Authors :
Elias, Charalambos N.
Hatziargyriou, Nikos D.
Source :
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems; Feb2009, Vol. 24 Issue 1, p469-478, 10p, 2 Black and White Photographs, 4 Charts, 10 Graphs
Publication Year :
2009

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to present a new fuzzy logic method for midterm energy forecasting. The proposed method properly transforms the input variables to differences or relative differences, in order to predict energy values not included in the training set and to use a minimal number of patterns. The input variables, the number of the triangular membership functions and their base widths are simultaneously selected by an optimization process. The standard deviation is calculated analytically by mathematical expressions based on the membership functions. Results from an extensive application of the method to the Greek power system and for different categories of customers are compared to those obtained from the application of standard regression methods and artificial neural networks (ANN). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08858950
Volume :
24
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
39366361
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2008.2009490