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The Impact of Analysts' Forecast Errors and Forecast Revisions on Stock Prices.
- Source :
- Journal of Business Finance & Accounting; Jun/July2008, Vol. 35 Issue 5/6, p709-740, 32p, 2 Diagrams, 6 Charts
- Publication Year :
- 2008
-
Abstract
- We present a comprehensive analysis of the association between stock returns, quarterly earnings forecast errors, and quarter-ahead and year-ahead earnings forecast revisions. We find that forecast errors and the two forecast revisions have significant effects on stock prices, indicating each conveys information content. Findings also show that the fourth quarter differs from other quarters—the relative importance of the forecast error (quarter-ahead forecast revision) is lower (higher). We also find a marked upward shift over time in the forecast error and forecast revision coefficients, consistent with the I/B/E/S database reflecting an improved quality of both earnings forecasts and actual earnings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- CORPORATE finance
FINANCE
BUSINESS forecasting
FORECASTING
STOCK prices
WAGES
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 0306686X
- Volume :
- 35
- Issue :
- 5/6
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Business Finance & Accounting
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 32642348
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2008.02079.x