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Building a Multilake Paleoseismometer for the Xianshuihe Fault (Tibetan Plateau, China).

Authors :
Lemot, François
Sabatier, Pierre
Chevalier, Marie‐Luce
Develle, Anne‐Lise
Fang, Ziqi
Rioual, Patrick
Zhang, Siqi
Bai, Mingkun
Wang, Shiguang
Li, Haibing
Replumaz, Anne
Source :
Tectonics; Dec2024, Vol. 43 Issue 12, p1-21, 21p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The Xianshuihe fault, located in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, stands as one of the most active faults in China. As assessing earthquake hazard relies on access to long‐term paleoseismological archives, this paper seeks to optimize the interpretation of paleoseismological records. We retrieved nine sediment cores from three lakes over a 30 km fault segment. Earthquake‐related deposits were identified through grain‐size analysis, XRF core scanning, and SEM observations of thin sections. Age models based on short‐lived radionuclides correlate these events with historical earthquakes, which are recorded with varying sensitivities to seismic intensity across the three lakes. We developed a code that evaluates the plausibility of rupture scenarios against sedimentary evidence: Each site is used as a binary paleoseismometer, indicating whether or not an earthquake reached a local intensity threshold. The combined evidence from the three sites allows to evaluate rupture scenarios on the Xianshuihe fault, according to rupture length‐magnitude scaling laws and intensity prediction equations. The most probable scenarios allow to discriminate the rupture area and magnitude range providing a good agreement with historical reconstructions. Our work demonstrates the potential of combining earthquake records to infer the magnitude and rupture zone of paleo‐earthquakes, even with a limited data set. Our approach, applicable across diverse geological settings and timescales, offers enhanced precision in understanding long‐term paleoseismology covering multiple earthquake cycles. However, establishing the synchronicity of events in such an active area—where earthquake return times are typically <100 years—demands highly accurate age models, which remains challenging. Key Points: Multi‐proxy analysis and short‐lived radioelement dating revealed earthquake deposits in three small mountain lakes in SE TibetThe lakes documented the historical seismicity of the Xianshuihe fault, showing varying sensitivities to seismic intensitiesComparing lacustrine records, a code using seismic scaling laws and fault geometry could discriminate possible paleo‐earthquake locations [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02787407
Volume :
43
Issue :
12
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Tectonics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
181848093
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024TC008508