Back to Search Start Over

The hectometric modelling challenge: Gaps in the current state of the art and ways forward towards the implementation of 100‐m scale weather and climate models.

Authors :
Lean, Humphrey W.
Theeuwes, Natalie E.
Baldauf, Michael
Barkmeijer, Jan
Bessardon, Geoffrey
Blunn, Lewis
Bojarova, Jelena
Boutle, Ian A.
Clark, Peter A.
Demuzere, Matthias
Dueben, Peter
Frogner, Inger‐Lise
de Haan, Siebren
Harrison, Dawn
Heerwaarden, Chiel van
Honnert, Rachel
Lock, Adrian
Marsigli, Chiara
Masson, Valéry
Mccabe, Anne
Source :
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society; Oct2024, Vol. 150 Issue 765, p4671-4708, 38p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

For a number of years research has been carried out in several centres which has demonstrated the potential benefits of 100‐m scale models for a range of meteorological phenomena. More recently, some meteorological services have started to consider seriously the operational implementation of practical hectometric models. Many, but by no means all, of the applications are likely to relate to urban areas, where the enhanced resolution has obvious benefits. This article is concerned with the issues that need to be addressed to bridge the gap between research at 100‐m scales and practical models. We highlight a number of key issues that need to be addressed, with suggestions of important avenues for future development. An overarching issue is the high computational cost of these models. Although some ideas to reduce this are presented, it will always be a serious constraint. This means that the benefits of these models over lower resolution ones, or other techniques for generating high‐resolution forecasts, will need to be clearly understood, as will the trade‐offs with resolution. We discuss issues with model dynamical cores and physics–dynamics coupling. There are a number of challenges around model parameterisations, where some of the traditional problems (e.g., convection) become easier but a number of new challenges (e.g., around surface parameterisations) appear. Observational data at these scales present a challenge and novel types of observations will need to be considered. Data assimilation will be needed for short‐range forecasts, but there is currently little knowledge of this, although some of the likely issues are clear. An ensemble approach will be essential in many cases (e.g., convection), but research is needed into ensembles at these scales and significant work on post‐processing systems is required to make the best use of models at these grid lengths. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00359009
Volume :
150
Issue :
765
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
181275482
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4858