A Deep Learning PM 2.5 Hybrid Prediction Model Based on Clustering–Secondary Decomposition Strategy.

Accurate prediction of PM_2.5 concentration is important for pollution control, public health, and ecological protection. However, due to the nonlinear nature of PM_2.5 data, the accuracy of existing methods suffers and performs poorly in both short-term and long-term predictions. In this study, a deep learning hybrid prediction model based on clustering and quadratic decomposition is proposed. The model utilizes the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) to decompose the PM_2.5 sequences into multiple intrinsic modal function components (IMFs), and clusters and re-fuses the subsequences with similar complexity by permutation entropy (PE) and K-means clustering. For the fused high-frequency sequences, a secondary decomposition is performed using the whale optimization algorithm (WOA) optimized variational modal decomposition (VMD). Finally, the nonlinear and temporal features are captured for prediction using the long- and short-term memory neural network (LSTM). Experiments show that this proposed model exhibits good stability and generalization ability. It does not only make accurate predictions in the short term, but also captures the trends in the long-term prediction. There is a significant performance improvement over the baseline models. Further comparisons with existing models outperform the current state-of-the-art models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]