Chapter 5: Forecast: 5.2: Internal environment.

The Inflation Report from the National Bank of Moldova for May 2024 forecasts a slight decline in the annual inflation rate in the first quarter, followed by an increase until the beginning of the next year, and then a slight decrease until the end of the forecast period. Factors contributing to the increase in inflation include trends in international food and oil prices, adjustments in excise taxes, and anticipated tariff adjustments. However, negative domestic demand and a decline in oil prices are expected to counteract these factors. The report also discusses trends in core inflation, food prices, regulated prices, and fuel prices, providing detailed analysis and projections for each category. [Extracted from the article]