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Global Firms in Large Devaluations.

Authors :
Blaum, Joaquin
Source :
Quarterly Journal of Economics; Nov2024, Vol. 139 Issue 4, p2427-2474, 48p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

I investigate the consequences of firms' joint import and export decisions in the context of large devaluations. I provide empirical evidence that large devaluations are characterized by an increase in the aggregate share of imported inputs in total input spending and by reallocation of resources toward import-intensive firms, contrary to what standard quantitative trade models predict. These facts are explained by the expansion of exporters, which are intense importers. I develop a model where firms globally decide their import and export strategies and discipline it to match salient features of the Mexican micro data. After a devaluation, the model reproduces the pattern of low aggregate substitution and firm reallocation observed in the data. Compared with a benchmark without global firms, the model predicts higher growth of total exports and imports and a smaller reduction in the trade deficit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00335533
Volume :
139
Issue :
4
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Quarterly Journal of Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
180278258
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjae017