Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on WVMD and Spatio-Temporal Dual-Stream Network.

As the penetration ratio of wind power in active distribution networks continues to increase, the system exhibits some characteristics such as randomness and volatility. Fast and accurate short-term wind power prediction is essential for algorithms like scheduling and optimization control. Based on the spatio-temporal features of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data, it proposes the WVMD_DSN (Whale Optimization Algorithm, Variational Mode Decomposition, Dual Stream Network) model. The model first applies Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) to choose some NWP features with strong correlation to wind power to form the feature set. Then, it decomposes the feature set using Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) to eliminate the nonstationarity and obtains Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs). Here Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is applied to optimise the key parameters of VMD, namely the number of mode components K and penalty factor a. Finally, incorporating attention mechanism (AM), Squeeze-Excitation Network (SENet), and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), it constructs the dual-stream network (DSN) for short-term wind power prediction. Comparative experiments demonstrate that the WVMD_DSN model outperforms existing baseline algorithms and exhibits good generalization performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]