Using the NAMA as a Natural Integrator to Quantify the Convective Contribution to Lower Stratospheric Water Vapor Over North America.

The dynamical environment of the stratosphere, during the summer over North America, provides a natural integrator of the impact of convection in the lower stratosphere, as air can be confined for periods of a few days to more than a week. In situ data obtained during the NASA Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) field campaign show increasing water vapor mixing ratios in background air as a function of time the air parcel spent within the North American Monsoon Anticyclone region. We find that water vapor added to the stratosphere by convection decreases with altitude and tends to drop below detectable limits by the 415 K isentrope in 2021 and the 430 K isentrope in 2022. Integrating between potential temperatures of 380 and 460 K we find that convection added between 20 and 32 Tg per summer to the stratosphere in 2021 and 2022. While the total amount is only 1%–4% of the amount ascending in the tropics across the tropical tropopause, small changes in the annual flux of water can have a significant effect on the radiation budget of the atmosphere. Locally, over North America we find that convection increased the water vapor mixing ratio at 380 K by as much as 40%. Tropopause‐penetrating convection is part of the yearly cycle of stratospheric water vapor and we suggest that it must be included in extratropical models to accurately predict future trends in stratospheric water vapor. Plain Language Summary: Water vapor in the stratosphere is important for regulating Earth's climate and also influences the amount of ozone in the stratosphere. Most air rises into the stratosphere through the tropical tropopause where the excess water freezes out leaving very dry air. But air and water can also be injected into the stratosphere via strong convective storm systems. During the summer months, strong storms over the Sierra Madre Occidental and the central United States are known to produce many overshoots that can be seen with radar and satellite. A recent NASA airborne campaign called Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) aimed to study this region. The aircraft was equipped with 12 different sensors measuring gases, aerosols, and meteorological variables. We use these measurements to look at the cumulative effect these storms have on the background air in the stratosphere and specifically calculate the amount of water vapor added by convection as a function of altitude above the tropopause. We find that water added by storms over North America is 1%–4% of the total amount ascending in the tropics. Over North America convection may account for as much as a 40% increase in lower stratospheric water vapor. Key Points: Deep convection over North America lofts significant amounts of water to the lower stratosphereThe North American Monsoon Anticyclone (NAMA) provides a natural integrator of convective perturbations to the stratosphereConvective detrainment of water vapor and ice is quantified by looking at changes in background air as a function of time spent in the NAMA [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]