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Endogenous Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market.

Authors :
Bargigli, Leonardo
Cifarelli, Giulio
Source :
Journal of Financial Econometrics; Fall2024, Vol. 22 Issue 4, p773-807, 35p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

We study two sources of heteroscedasticity in high-frequency financial data and estimate their contribution to overall volatility by means of a Markov switching (MS) structural VAR model. We achieve identification for all coefficients by assuming that the structural errors follow a GARCH-DCC process. Using transaction data of the EUR/USD interdealer market in 2016, we first detect three regimesof volatility. Then we show that both sources of volatility matter for the transmission of shocks, and that information is channeled to the market mostly through demand shocks. This suggests that, on the EUR/USD market, some liquidity takers (LTs) are better informed than both liquidity providers and those LTs who follow a feedback strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
14798409
Volume :
22
Issue :
4
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Financial Econometrics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
179375721
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfinec/nbad008