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Probabilistic programming for embedding theory and quantifying uncertainty in econometric analysis.

Authors :
Storm, Hugo
Heckelei, Thomas
Baylis, Kathy
Source :
European Review of Agricultural Economics; Jul2024, Vol. 51 Issue 3, p589-616, 28p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The replication crisis in empirical research calls for a more mindful approach to how we apply and report statistical models. For empirical research to have a lasting (policy) impact, these concerns are crucial. In this paper, we present Probabilistic Programming (PP) as a way forward. The PP workflow with an explicit data-generating process enhances the communication of model assumptions, code testing and consistency between theory and estimation. By simplifying Bayesian analysis, it also offers advantages for the interpretation, communication and modelling of uncertainty. We outline the advantages of PP to encourage its adoption in our community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01651587
Volume :
51
Issue :
3
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
European Review of Agricultural Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
179000159
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbae016