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Increasing resilience to catastrophic near-field tsunamis: systems for capturing, modelling, and assessing vertical evacuation practices.

Authors :
León, Jorge
Ogueda, Alonso
Gubler, Alejandra
Catalán, Patricio
Correa, Matías
Castañeda, Javiera
Beninati, Gianni
Source :
Natural Hazards; Aug2024, Vol. 120 Issue 10, p9135-9161, 27p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

Tsunami vertical evacuation (TVE) buildings have the potential to save many human lives in countries exposed to near-field tsunamis. Up to now, TVE research has examined three main topics separately: shelter siting, building benchmarks, and decision-making by evacuees. This study aims to integrate these topics to develop more comprehensive TVE planning frameworks. To this, we examined a catastrophic tsunami evacuation scenario in Viña del Mar, Chile. First, we developed an agent-based model to estimate potential human fatalities in the case of a fully horizontal evacuation. Second, we designed an immersive VR experience, which we applied to a sample of 151 people in the city to collect their potential TVE decision-making, which allowed us to identify 11 buildings that could serve as TVE shelters. Lastly, we incorporated this new evacuation system into the former agent-based model to assess the potential impact of vertical evacuation. Our findings showed that while fatalities ranged from 50 to 72% of the population in the fully horizontal scenario, the inclusion of TVE buildings might decrease human losses by 6.5–13.7%. Complementary questionnaires administered to participants highlighted their lack of previous experience in real-world evacuations (only 45.69% had previously experienced a tsunami-related evacuation process), as well as their knowledge about how to proceed in the case of a future emergency (62.91% declared that they knew where to go during an evacuation). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
0921030X
Volume :
120
Issue :
10
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Natural Hazards
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
178878361
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05732-x