Updated Talbot Method for Culvert Design Discharge Prediction.

Surface runoff flows must be drained safely through culverts in ephemeral flow streams and bridges in perennial streams without any damage to the road or highway infrastructure stability. In practice, bridges cross drainage basin channels reliably, and they are more carefully planned, designed, constructed, and maintained against extreme water passages, but culverts are subject to even less frequent and intensive rainfall consequent surface runoff occurrences with higher risk potential. It is, therefore, necessary to design culverts more carefully in such a way that they drain down the upstream surface water without any critical problem to the road downstream of the road stream channels. Most of the hydrological, hydraulic, and sedimentological formulations are empirical expressions that are widely valid for locations where culverts are suitably developed based on simple bivalent logical rules between factors involved in upstream inlet locations of culverts. One of the first logic rule-based methods in the literature is Talbot's procedural approach to culvert design. This approach is based not only on an explicit equation, but also on a set of linguistically proposed design rules that are expressed deterministically to effectively eliminate most of the ambiguities. This paper proposes a modified approach with additional logistic structural features based on a bivalent logic inference system, which is an improved version of the Talbot procedure and leads to better culvert transition surface flow prediction. The proposed method is applied to a local area in Tekirdağ City, Türkiye, where a serious train accident occurred due to a poorly maintained culvert. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]