The Role of Continental Alkaline Magmatism in Mantle Carbon Outflux Constrained by a Machine Learning Analysis of Zircon.

Continental alkaline magmatism has been suggested to play a significant role in releasing deep mantle carbon into the atmosphere, which can greatly impact the global climate. However, the temporal variations of alkaline magmatism and their potential to modulate climate over geologic time remain poorly constrained. The detrital zircon record is a frequently used proxy for tracking secular variations in particular magmatism. Here, we use a novel machine‐learning technique to discriminate zircon from carbonatites, kimberlites, and other alkaline rocks. A global compilation of detrital zircon yields continental alkaline magmatic flare‐ups between 1,050−850, 650−500, 250−200, and 50−0 Ma. Our estimates indicate relatively elevated contributions of total magmatic carbon outgassing from alkaline magmatism during the aforementioned magmatic flare‐ups. We infer that anomalous alkaline magmatism may influence global warming during specific intervals of geologic time, but when they are not that voluminous or persistent extensive arc magmatism may drive warming conditions. Plain Language Summary: The potential of volcanic CO2 emissions to modulate atmospheric CO2 levels and affect the environment of our planet has been recognized. Some specific volcanic types, such as continental arc volcanism, have been hypothesized to play a dominant role in driving long‐term climate change. Recently, the efficiency of continental alkaline magmatism in releasing carbon from the deep mantle to the atmosphere and its ability to influence Earth's climate is proposed for certain timescales and supported by empirical data. However, the quantitative estimation of the alkaline magmatic activity over geologic time and its general link to the global climate change remains poorly constrained. Here, we assess the alkaline magmatic variations based on the detrital zircon record and a novel machine‐learning model which could discriminate zircon from carbonatites, kimberlites and other related alkaline silicate rocks. The predictive result shows several peaks at 1,050−850, 650−500, 250−200, and 50−0 Ma, which is considered a minimum estimation due to the preservation bias of the detrital zircon record. Our estimates indicate that continental alkaline magmatism may influence global warming during specific intervals of geologic time such as the early Paleozoic and early Mesozoic. Key Points: Frequency of magmatic events can be assessed by a machine‐learning analysis of zirconContinental alkaline magmatism peaked between 1,050−850, 650−500, 250−200, and 50−0 MaAnomalous alkaline magmatism may contribute to global warming at certain times [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]