Cloud Responses to Abrupt Solar and CO2 Forcing: 2. Adjustment to Forcing in Coupled Models.

In this paper, we examine differences in cloud adjustments (often called rapid adjustments) that occur as a direct result of abruptly increasing the solar constant by 4% or abruptly quadrupling of atmospheric CO2. In doing so, we devise a novel method for calculating the cloud adjustments for the abrupt solar forcing simulations that uses differences between coupled model simulations with abrupt solar and CO2 forcing, in combination with uncoupled, atmosphere‐only, abrupt CO2 forced experiments that have prescribed sea‐surface temperature. Our main findings are that (a) there are substantial differences in the responses of stratocumulus and cumulus clouds to solar and CO2 forcing, which follow the differences in the direct radiative effect that solar and CO2 forcing have at cloud top, and (b) there are differences in the adjustment of the average optical depth of high clouds to solar and CO2 forcing that we speculate are driven by the differences in the vertical profile of radiative heating and differences in the pattern of sea‐surface temperature change (for a fixed global mean temperature). These cloud adjustments contribute significantly to the total net cloud radiative effect, even after 150 years of simulation. Plain Language Summary: In climate change, clouds change due to a variety of mechanisms including surface temperature, dynamical circulations, and radiative forcing. In this paper, we examine the latter: how clouds respond to radiative forcing. We study this topic using climate model simulations where the brightness of the sun is abruptly increased by 4% and compare those with simulations where CO2 concentration is abruptly quadrupled. In doing so we find that, there are differences in the cloud response to changes in solar and CO2 forcing which include the occurrence of thick and thin high cloud, as well as the amount and height of low and mid‐level clouds. Key Points: Increasing CO2 causes a reduction and lowering of mid‐level and low‐level clouds which does not occur from solar forcingThere is large reduction in optically thin high clouds from solar forcing, especially as compared with CO2Even after 150 years adjustments make a significant contribution to the total net cloud radiative effect [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]