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The Discount Rate for Investment Analysis Applying Expected Utility.

Authors :
Baucells, Manel
Bodily, Samuel E.
Source :
Decision Analysis; Jun2024, Vol. 21 Issue 2, p125-141, 17p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

In decision analysis, expected utility of discounted cash flows is the traditional approach to incorporate risk aversion into the evaluation of a project. The choice of discount rate as well as the convergence with the beta-adjusted approach from finance have always been in question. To address this gap, we adopt a risk-sharing setup in which investors have both treasuries and the stock market as alternatives to the project. For a full utility analysis of all the investor's capital, we provide a unique discount rate that allows setting the horizon at the termination of the project. For a traditional analyst who conducts expected utility of discounted cash flows and ignores the capital not allocated to the project, we recommend an adjusted discount rate that compensates for double-counting the systematic risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
15458490
Volume :
21
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Decision Analysis
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177946946
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2022.0059