Magnetosheath Ion Field‐Aligned Asymmetry and Implications for Ion Leakage to the Foreshock.

The ion foreshock is highly dynamic, disturbing the bow shock and the magnetosphere‐ionosphere system. To forecast foreshock‐driven space weather effects, it is necessary to model foreshock ions as a function of upstream shock parameters. Case studies in the accompanying paper show that magnetosheath ions sometimes exhibit strong field‐aligned asymmetry toward the upstream direction, which may be responsible for enhancing magnetosheath leakage and therefore foreshock ion density. To understand the conditions leading to such asymmetry and the potential for enhanced leakage, we perform case studies and a statistical study of magnetosheath and foreshock region data surrounding ∼500 Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms mission bow shock crossings. We quantify the asymmetry using the heat flux along the field‐aligned direction. We show that the strong field‐aligned heat flux persists across the entire magnetosheath from the magnetopause to the bow shock. Ion distribution functions reveal that the strong heat flux is caused by a secondary thermal population. We find that stronger asymmetry events exhibit heat flux preferentially toward the upstream direction near the bow shock and occur under larger IMF strength and larger solar wind dynamic pressure and/or energy flux. Additionally, we show that near the bow shock, magnetosheath leakage is a significant contributor to foreshock ions, and through enhancing the leakage the magnetosheath ion asymmetry can modulate the foreshock ion velocity and density. Our results imply that likely due to field line draping and compression against the magnetopause that leads to a directional mirror force, modeling the foreshock ions necessitates a more global accounting of downstream conditions. Key Points: Ion field‐aligned asymmetry persists across the magnetosheath, caused by a secondary thermal population of magnetosheath ionsLarger IMF strength and solar wind dynamic pressure and/or energy flux favor stronger field‐aligned asymmetryNear the bow shock, the foreshock ion velocity and density are modulated by the magnetosheath ion field‐aligned asymmetry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]