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G6-1.5K-SAI: a new Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) experiment integrating recent advances in solar radiation modification studies.

Authors :
Visioni, Daniele
Robock, Alan
Haywood, Jim
Henry, Matthew
Tilmes, Simone
MacMartin, Douglas G.
Kravitz, Ben
Doherty, Sarah J.
Moore, John
Lennard, Chris
Watanabe, Shingo
Muri, Helene
Niemeier, Ulrike
Boucher, Olivier
Syed, Abu
Egbebiyi, Temitope S.
Séférian, Roland
Quaglia, Ilaria
Source :
Geoscientific Model Development; 2024, Vol. 17 Issue 7, p2583-2596, 14p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) has proposed multiple model experiments during phases 5 and 6 of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), with the latest set of model experiments proposed in 2015. With phase 7 of CMIP in preparation and with multiple efforts ongoing to better explore the potential space of outcomes for different solar radiation modifications (SRMs) both in terms of deployment strategies and scenarios and in terms of potential impacts, the GeoMIP community has identified the need to propose and conduct a new experiment that could serve as a bridge between past iterations and future CMIP7 experiments. Here we report the details of such a proposed experiment, named G6-1.5K-SAI, to be conducted with the current generation of scenarios and models from CMIP6 and clarify the reasoning behind many of the new choices introduced. Namely, compared to the CMIP6 GeoMIP scenario G6sulfur, we decided on (1) an intermediate emission scenario as a baseline (the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5), (2) a start date set in the future that includes both considerations for the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels and some considerations for a likely start date for an SRM implementation, and (3) a deployment strategy for stratospheric aerosol injection that does not inject in the tropical pipe in order to obtain a more latitudinally uniform aerosol distribution. We also offer more details regarding the preferred experiment length and number of ensemble members and include potential options for second-tier experiments that some modeling groups might want to run. The specifics of the proposed experiment will further allow for a more direct comparison between results obtained from CMIP6 models and those obtained from future scenarios for CMIP7. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1991959X
Volume :
17
Issue :
7
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Geoscientific Model Development
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
176758514
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2583-2024