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به‌کارگیری هوش مصنوعی در پیش‌بینی تولید ناخالص داخلی و نرخ بیکاری و تأثیر متقابل آن‌ها بر یک‌دیگر در اقتصاد ایران

Authors :
مرضیه شیری
محمدحسن فطرس
Source :
Applied Economics Studies Iran (AESI); Jan2024, Vol. 12 Issue 48, p107-132, 26p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The unemployment rate and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are among the most important economic indicators that understanding their current and future trends can help policymakers and decision-makers adopt appropriate solutions to prevent crises and improve the country's economic situation. Accurate prediction of these two indicators can be useful in future planning and improving the country's economy and people's livelihoods. In recent years, artificial intelligence techniques and tools, given their many capabilities, can play a very important role in predicting important economic indicators. Therefore, given the high importance of the two indicators of unemployment rate and GDP on the economy of our country Iran, this article intends to first predict these two indicators separately and then predict the rate of GDP growth based on the unemployment rate using artificial intelligence techniques. For this purpose, in this research, seasonal data related to GDP and its components and the unemployment rate for the years 1976-2022 have been used. Also, machine learning models based on regression have been used for prediction. The results show that the predictions of the mentioned models have an appropriate accuracy in terms of evaluation criteria such as root mean square error, mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error, which indicates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
Persian
ISSN :
23222530
Volume :
12
Issue :
48
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Applied Economics Studies Iran (AESI)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
176029314
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.22084/AES.2024.28832.3662