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Income and Terrorism: Insights From Subnational Data.
- Source :
- Journal of Conflict Resolution; Feb/Mar2024, Vol. 68 Issue 2/3, p509-533, 25p
- Publication Year :
- 2024
-
Abstract
- This paper first introduces a theoretical formalization connecting a polity's income level to terrorism. Our framework can accommodate different underlying assumptions about individual- and society-level grievances, yielding competing hypotheses. We then construct a panel database to study terrorism for 1527 subnational regions in 75 countries between 1970 and 2014. Results consistently imply an inverted U-shape that remains robust to incorporating a comprehensive set of region-level covariates, region- and time-fixed effects, as well as estimating an array of alternative specifications. The threat of terrorism systematically rises as low-income polities become richer, peaking at GDP/capita levels of ≈ US$12,800 (in constant 2005 PPP US$), but then falls consistently above that level. This pattern emerges for domestic and transnational terrorism alike. While peaks differ by perpetrator ideology, the inverted U shape also prevails across ideology-specific subsamples. In sum, alleviating poverty may first exacerbate terrorism, contrary to much of the proposed recipes advocated since 9/11. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- DOMESTIC terrorism
TERRORISM
SEPTEMBER 11 Terrorist Attacks, 2001
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00220027
- Volume :
- 68
- Issue :
- 2/3
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Conflict Resolution
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 175158526
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027231175071