Modelling the Urban Thermal Environment through the Combined Use of WRF and the Local Climate Zones Approach: Case Study for Nicosia.

The Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) region is an exceptionally thermally vulnerable area, projected to suffer from frequent and severe heatwaves in the coming decades. To assess the impacts of climate change on the urban thermal environment in cities, high-resolution numerical simulations are crucial. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is tested in order to progressively downscale the regional scale (12 km) to the local scale (1 km) and thus derive high-resolution data for the 2 m air temperature over Nicosia. Two different simulations were conducted, driven by the ERA5 re-analysis, over a two-month summer period, namely from 15 June to 15 August, 2021, to compare two different urban canopy schemes. The first simulation concerns the implementation of the bulk scheme using the default land cover of MODIS. In the second, the WRF model was coupled with the Single Layer Urban Canopy Model for a better representation of the urban characteristics of Nicosia, and detailed information on the urban form was inserted into the model via the creation of the Local Climate Zones classification scheme. A comparison between the two different physical schemes as well as an evaluation of the simulation results with observation data are performed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]