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"Investor attention fluctuation and stock market volatility: Evidence from China".

Authors :
Yang, Taiji
Zhuo, Siqi
Yang, Yongsheng
Source :
PLoS ONE; 11/27/2023, Vol. 18 Issue 11, p1-15, 15p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

This paper examines the linkage between Chinese stock market volatility and investor attention fluctuation. In Heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model, first, we analyzed the linkage between both decomposed and undecomposed stock market realized volatility and investor attention fluctuations across full-sample and two-year moving window sub-samples. Second, we compare the predictive power of four models in short-, medium-, and long-term volatility forecasting. Empirical results show large positive attention fluctuation amplified Chinese stock market volatility after the outbreak of COVID-19, and negative small attention fluctuation significantly stabilized stock market volatility before COVID-19, and the impact dwindled in after COVID-19. The model incorporating decomposed realized volatility and decomposed attention fluctuation performs better in volatility Forecasting. This research underscores a shift in the dynamics between stock market volatility and investor attention fluctuations, and investor attention fluctuation improves the volatility forecasting accuracy of the Chinese stock market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
19326203
Volume :
18
Issue :
11
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
PLoS ONE
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
173857649
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0293825