The Impact of Orbital Precession on Air‐Sea CO2 Exchange in the Southern Ocean.

Orbital precession has been linked to glacial cycles and the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration, yet the direct impact of precession on the carbon cycle is not well understood. We analyze output from an Earth system model configured under different orbital parameters to isolate the impact of precession on air‐sea CO2 flux in the Southern Ocean—a component of the global carbon cycle that is thought to play a key role on past atmospheric CO2 variations. Here, we demonstrate that periods of high precession are coincident with anomalous CO2 outgassing from the Southern Ocean. Under high precession, we find a poleward shift in the southern westerly winds, enhanced Southern Ocean meridional overturning, and an increase in the surface ocean partial pressure of CO2 along the core of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. These results suggest that orbital precession may have played an important role in driving changes in atmospheric CO2. Plain Language Summary: Over the past one million years, Earth has experienced several glacial and interglacial periods. As a glacial period is ending, carbon in the atmosphere can rise by up to 50%. The cause for this change is currently unknown, but most theories suggest that this carbon is released from the deep ocean into the atmosphere. The Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica is the location of a lot of carbon outgassing from the deep ocean into the atmosphere, so it could be responsible for some of this change in atmospheric carbon. One of Earth's orbital cycles, precession, has been shown to change circulation in the Southern Ocean, that can affect how much carbon is carried from the deep ocean to the surface and released into the atmosphere. This paper uses simulations of a climate model to show that high precession corresponds to a 20% increase in the release of carbon from the Southern Ocean into the atmosphere. These findings suggest that precession could have affected changes in past atmospheric carbon concentrations. Key Points: Increased insolation during austral summer due to orbital precession shifts the southern westerlies polewardPoleward shifted westerlies enhance CO2 outgassing due to increased turbulent exchange and vertical transport of carbon‐rich watersEnhanced transport of carbon‐rich waters is driven by a deepening of the overturning circulation in response to poleward shifted winds [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]