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Pedestrian evacuation time calculation against tsunami hazard for southern coasts of Bodrum peninsula.

Authors :
Celikbas, Busra
Tufekci-Enginar, Duygu
Dogan, Gozde Guney
Kolat, Cagil
Santini, Marzia
Annunziato, Alessandro
Necmioglu, Ocal
Yalciner, Ahmet Cevdet
Suzen, Mehmet Lutfi
Source :
Natural Hazards; Oct2023, Vol. 119 Issue 1, p243-260, 18p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Historical records with recent events reveal that tsunamis are threatening the western coast of Turkey due to the intensely active seismicity of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. The most recent tsunami events in the region (30 October 2020 Izmir-Samos and 20 July 2017 Bodrum-Kos) restated that the cities located near the Eastern Mediterranean and connected seas should also consider tsunami events in their disaster mitigation plans. Bodrum is one of the most critical coastal districts vulnerable to marine hazards, with popular hotels, numerous coastal facilities, long and famous beaches, cultural, historical and touristic places. Tsunami evacuation planning is required for Bodrum district to mitigate the damage caused by destructive tsunami waves inundating on land. This study calculates the geospatial distribution of pedestrian evacuation time, based on selected credible worst-case scenarios. A widely used anisotropic least-cost distance model is applied via the Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst Tool to calculate the required time for a pedestrian to evacuate the region under tsunami threat based on the selected scenarios. The model includes landscape properties that affect the walking pace of pedestrians during an evacuation, such as elevation, slope, land cover, and land use types (beach, road, bushes, water bodies, and barriers). The resultant pedestrian evacuation time maps show that the maximum time needed for a pedestrian is 8, 6, 5, 4, and 3 min for highly populated coastal settlements of Bodrum, which are Central Bodrum, Yahsi, Akyarlar-Karaincir-Aspat Bays, Bitez, and Gumbet Bays, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
0921030X
Volume :
119
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Natural Hazards
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
171916970
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06034-6