Groundwater Volume Loss in Mexico City Constrained by InSAR and GRACE Observations and Mechanical Models.

Groundwater withdrawal can cause localized and rapid poroelastic subsidence, spatially broad elastic uplift of low amplitude, and changes in the gravity field. Constraining groundwater loss in Mexico City, we analyze data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment and its follow‐on mission (GRACE/FO) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Sentinel‐1A/B images between 2014 and 2021. GRACE/FO observations yield a groundwater loss of 0.85–3.87 km3/yr for a region of ∼300 × 600 km surrounding Mexico City. Using the high‐resolution interferometric SAR data set, we measure >35 cm/yr subsidence within the city and up to 2 cm/yr of uplift in nearby areas. Attributing the long‐term subsidence to poroelastic aquifer compaction and the long‐term uplift to elastic unloading, we apply respective models informed by local geology, yielding groundwater loss of 0.86–12.57 km3/yr. Our results suggest Mexico City aquifers have been depleting at faster rates since 2015, exacerbating the socioeconomic and health impacts of long‐term groundwater overdrafts. Plain Language Summary: Groundwater overdraft in Mexico City results from excessive freshwater demand and unsustainable water resource management in a subtropical environment with warm summers and dry winters. Groundwater depletion can result in ground surface deformation and changes in the gravity field, observable by Sentinel‐1 and GRACE satellites. Here, we examine data from both satellite missions between November 2014 and October 2021 to determine groundwater volume loss. Using GRACE, which has a footprint of ∼350 km, we quantify groundwater volume loss to a rate of 0.85–3.87 km3 per year in the broader area surrounding Mexico City. Analysis of high‐resolution Sentinel‐1 synthetic aperture radar images shows land sinks at a rate of 35 cm/yr within the city and surrounding areas uplifts at a rate of ∼2 cm/yr. While the subsidence is a consequence of aquifer compaction, the uplift represents an elastic unloading response of the Earth's crust to water mass loss. Using geophysical models informed by local geology, we show that the region loses groundwater at rates of 0.86–12.57 km3/yr. Our results emphasize the need for groundwater monitoring in Mexico City to assist with managing freshwater resources. Key Points: A subsidence rate of >35 cm/yr within Mexico City, surrounded by ∼2 cm/yr of uplift, is observed using space‐borne synthetic aperture radarGroundwater loss of 0.86–12.57 km3/yr in Mexico City causes poroelastic subsidence, a broad‐scale elastic uplift, and gravity field changeMexico City aquifers have been depleting at least since 2015, exacerbating groundwater overdrafts' socioeconomic and health impacts [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]