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Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index.

Authors :
Lewis, Daniel J.
Mertens, Karel
Stock, James H.
Trivedi, Mihir
Source :
Journal of Applied Econometrics; Jun2022, Vol. 37 Issue 4, p667-687, 21p
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

Summary: This paper describes a weekly economic index (WEI) developed to track the rapid economic developments associated with the onset of and policy response to the novel coronavirus in the United States. The WEI is a weekly composite index of real economic activity, with eight of 10 series available the Thursday after the end of the reference week. In addition to being a weekly real activity index, the WEI has strong predictive power for output measures and provided an accurate nowcast of current‐quarter GDP growth in the first half of 2020, with weaker performance in the second half. We document how the WEI responded to key events and data releases during the first 10 months of the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08837252
Volume :
37
Issue :
4
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Applied Econometrics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
157689676
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2873