Trends in secondary inorganic aerosol pollution in China and its responses to emission controls of precursors in wintertime.

The Chinese government recently proposed ammonia (NH 3) emission reductions (but without a specific national target) as a strategic option to mitigate fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) pollution. We combined a meta-analysis of nationwide measurements and air quality modeling to identify efficiency gains by striking a balance between controlling NH 3 and acid gas (SO 2 and NO x) emissions. We found that PM 2.5 concentrations decreased from 2000 to 2019, but annual mean PM 2.5 concentrations still exceeded 35 µ g m -3 at 74 % of 1498 monitoring sites during 2015–2019. The concentration of PM 2.5 and its components were significantly higher (16 %–195 %) on hazy days than on non-hazy days. Compared with mean values of other components, this difference was more significant for the secondary inorganic ions SO 42- , NO 3- , and NH 4+ (average increase 98 %). While sulfate concentrations significantly decreased over this period, no significant change was observed for nitrate and ammonium concentrations. Model simulations indicate that the effectiveness of a 50 % NH 3 emission reduction for controlling secondary inorganic aerosol (SIA) concentrations decreased from 2010 to 2017 in four megacity clusters of eastern China, simulated for the month of January under fixed meteorological conditions (2010). Although the effectiveness further declined in 2020 for simulations including the natural experiment of substantial reductions in acid gas emissions during the COVID-19 pandemic, the resulting reductions in SIA concentrations were on average 20.8 % lower than those in 2017. In addition, the reduction in SIA concentrations in 2017 was greater for 50 % acid gas reductions than for the 50 % NH 3 emission reductions. Our findings indicate that persistent secondary inorganic aerosol pollution in China is limited by emissions of acid gases, while an additional control of NH 3 emissions would become more important as reductions of SO 2 and NO x emissions progress. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]