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Establishment of Economic Forecasting Model of High-tech Industry Based on Genetic Optimization Neural Network.

Authors :
Gao, Kai
Liu, Tingting
Hu, Bin
Hao, Miao
Zhang, Yueran
Source :
Computational Intelligence & Neuroscience; 4/30/2022, p1-10, 10p
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

Scientific and accurate prediction of high-tech industries is of great practical significance for government departments to grasp the future economic operation and formulate development strategies. In this paper, aiming at some shortcomings of neural network (NN) applied in economic forecasting, GANN was introduced to construct the economic forecasting model of high-tech industry. Genetic algorithm (GA) has simple calculation and strong robustness and can generally ensure convergence to the global optimum, which effectively overcomes the shortcomings of NN using gradient descent method. In order to verify the feasibility of the economic forecasting model in this paper, the comparative experiments of different models are carried out in this paper. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has faster convergence speed and greater generalization ability, and the average error rate is reduced to about 1%. The prediction accuracy of this model reached 95.14%, which was about 11.93% higher than the previous model. Applying the economic forecasting model in this paper to the economic forecasting of high-tech industries can provide the means and reference value for the government to formulate regional future economic development plans, forecast, and control the economic growth and development direction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
16875265
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Computational Intelligence & Neuroscience
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
156626931
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2128370