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One session options: Playing the announcement lottery?

Authors :
Smales, Lee A.
Liu, Zhangxin
Robertson, Cameron D.
Source :
Journal of Futures Markets; Feb2022, Vol. 42 Issue 2, p192-211, 20p
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

One session options (OSOs) fulfill the criteria for a lottery‐type asset; a low price coupled with a relatively small probability of a large payoff. We examine trading behavior for intraday OSO contracts on the Australian 3‐Year Treasury bond future. We find that volume is higher on days with a major macroeconomic announcement, and concentrated in the time before data release. Volume tends to be higher when there is a greater difference of opinion concerning the announcement outcome or when the level of economic policy uncertainty is higher. We propose that 'differences of opinions' best explain OSO trading behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02707314
Volume :
42
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Futures Markets
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
154716261
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22257