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One session options: Playing the announcement lottery?
- Source :
- Journal of Futures Markets; Feb2022, Vol. 42 Issue 2, p192-211, 20p
- Publication Year :
- 2022
-
Abstract
- One session options (OSOs) fulfill the criteria for a lottery‐type asset; a low price coupled with a relatively small probability of a large payoff. We examine trading behavior for intraday OSO contracts on the Australian 3‐Year Treasury bond future. We find that volume is higher on days with a major macroeconomic announcement, and concentrated in the time before data release. Volume tends to be higher when there is a greater difference of opinion concerning the announcement outcome or when the level of economic policy uncertainty is higher. We propose that 'differences of opinions' best explain OSO trading behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- DATA release
LOTTERIES
ECONOMIC policy
ANNOUNCEMENTS
FUTURES
GOVERNMENT securities
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 02707314
- Volume :
- 42
- Issue :
- 2
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Futures Markets
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 154716261
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22257