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Macroeconomic Effects of the Anticipation and Implementation of Tax Changes in Germany: Evidence from a Narrative Account.
- Source :
- Economica; Jan2022, Vol. 89 Issue 353, p62-81, 20p
- Publication Year :
- 2022
-
Abstract
- This paper quantifies the dynamic macroeconomic effects of tax changes in Germany, allowing for anticipation effects of preannounced tax reforms. Identification is achieved using a narrative approach, which provides information about the timing of tax reforms. An anticipated cut in taxes has a positive effect on output with a peak multiplier of 1.7, not observed until nine quarters after implementation. This positive effect is accompanied by significant negative anticipation effects on output, consumption, investment, hours worked and wages. Our results suggest that policymakers should take anticipation effects into account when implementing fiscal policy measures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- FISCAL policy
WORKING hours
TAX reform
MINIMUM wage
TAXATION
TAX cuts
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00130427
- Volume :
- 89
- Issue :
- 353
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Economica
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 153936172
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12389