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Minimizing the expected value of the asymmetric loss function and an inequality for the variance of the loss.

Authors :
Yamaguchi, Naoya
Yamaguchi, Yuka
Nishii, Ryuei
Source :
Journal of Applied Statistics; Oct-Dec 2021, Vol. 48 Issue 13-15, p2348-2368, 21p, 6 Charts, 16 Graphs
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

The coefficients of regression are usually estimated for minimization problems with asymmetric loss functions. In this paper, we rather correct predictions so that the prediction error follows a generalized Gaussian distribution. In our method, we not only minimize the expected value of the asymmetric loss, but also lower the variance of the loss. Predictions usually have errors. Therefore, it is necessary to use predictions in consideration of these errors. Our approach takes into account prediction errors. Furthermore, even if we do not understand the prediction method, which is a possible circumstance in, e.g. deep learning, we can use our method if we know the prediction error distribution and asymmetric loss function. Our method can be applied to procurement of electricity from electricity markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02664763
Volume :
48
Issue :
13-15
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Applied Statistics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
153219147
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2020.1761951