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Defining the Long-term Development Trends of Countries in East-Central Europe in the Context of Political Cycles.
- Source :
- International Journal of Public Administration; Oct 2021, Vol. 44 Issue 14, p1201-1215, 15p
- Publication Year :
- 2021
-
Abstract
- Historical development patterns are uneven. There are windows of opportunity for countries on the periphery to catch-up, others may lose momentum. Using the Maddison database accelerating and decelerating periods can be found. This paper compares the development trends of six East-Central European (ECE) countries with the average of highly developed countries, and three successfully catching-up countries. A methodological novelty of the paper is the usage of enveloping curves. The approach is based of Ferenc Jánossy's seminal work on the long-term development trendlines of countries, which are interpreted as historic growth potential indicators. ECE growth performance is also compared to their own long-term potentials. The development pattern is interpreted in the mainstream political concepts of the various historical epochs. The analysis concludes that ECE region's growth performance is more successful in state-permeated management of slack periods. Liberal epochs' accelerated growth of highly developed countries could not be followed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- DEVELOPING countries
DEVELOPED countries
COUNTRIES
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 01900692
- Volume :
- 44
- Issue :
- 14
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- International Journal of Public Administration
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 153218975
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1080/01900692.2020.1749850