Back to Search Start Over

EURQ: A New Web Search‐based Uncertainty Index.

Authors :
Bontempi, Maria Elena
Frigeri, Michele
Golinelli, Roberto
Squadrani, Matteo
Source :
Economica; Oct2021, Vol. 88 Issue 352, p969-1015, 47p
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

Measuring economic uncertainty is extremely important for evaluating its role in economic activity. Nevertheless, measuring uncertainty is a difficult task since we do not know when economic agents perceive uncertainty and which type of uncertainty affects them. This paper introduces the economic uncertainty related queries (EURQ) index, computed for both the USA and Italy, which measures economic, political and normative uncertainty through large‐scale searches on the internet. We show that the EURQ index captures economic agents' need for information in response to uncertainty shocks. Moreover, we show that this need for information is not just curiosity triggered by press coverage but rather captures individuals' genuine interest, particularly in specific topics subject to uncertainty. Hence the EURQ index can be exploited fruitfully to measure the level of uncertainty perceived by economic agents and to assess the role of specific types of uncertainty in economic activity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00130427
Volume :
88
Issue :
352
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Economica
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
152247508
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12372