Millennial Resolution Late Miocene Northern China Precipitation Record Spanning Astronomical Analogue Interval to the Future.

Much has been learned regarding orbital and millennial timescale climate changes after the onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciations (NHG) at ca. 2.7 Ma. By contrast, little is known about these variations before the NHG due to lack of high‐resolution records. Here we report first millennial resolution quantified East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) precipitation record from the north eastern Tibetan Plateau. The record supports astronomical forcing of EASM during the late Miocene, except for the period of 8.13–8.03 Ma when EASM experienced high amplitude variations at the 100‐, 20‐kyr, and suborbital bands, which is in sharp contrast with the damped astronomical forcing. Detection of strong 100‐kyr and millennial cycles during low eccentricity intervals of the warm late Miocene with ephemeral NH ice sheets cast doubt on NH ice sheet size variations as their exclusive forcing in the late Miocene and late Quaternary paleoclimatic records. Plain Language Summary: Millennial and 100‐kyr cycles in paleoclimate records are normally attributed to Northern Hemisphere ice sheet size variations. Here we present the first 1‐kyr resolution quantitative East Asian summer monsoon precipitation record from the northeastern Tibetan Plateau during the late Miocene, when Northern Hemisphere ice sheets were ephemeral. The record demonstrates strong 100‐kyr and clear millennial cycles. Detection of 100‐kyr and millennial cycles in this warm time interval cast doubt on Northern Hemisphere ice sheet size variations as their exclusive forcing in paleoclimatic records. Key Points: First 1‐kyr resolution quantitative northern China precipitation record during the late MioceneThe record reveals strong 100‐kyr and clear millennial cyclesDetection of 100‐kyr and millennial cycles in this warm interval challenges Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheet size variations as their exclusive forcing [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]