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Potential Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Condomless-Sex-Concentrated PrEP in KwaZulu-Natal Accounting for Drug Resistance.

Authors :
Phillips, Andrew N
Cambiano, Valentina
Johnson, Leigh
Nakagawa, Fumiyo
Homan, Rick
Meyer-Rath, Gesine
Rehle, Thomas
Tanser, Frank
Moyo, Sizulu
Shahmanesh, Maryam
Castor, Delivette
Russell, Elizabeth
Jamieson, Lise
Bansi-Matharu, Loveleen
Shroufi, Amir
Barnabas, Ruanne V
Parikh, Urvi M
Mellors, John W
Revill, Paul
Source :
Journal of Infectious Diseases; 4/15/2021, Vol. 223 Issue 8, p1345-1355, 11p
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

<bold>Introduction: </bold>Oral preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the form of tenofovir-disoproxil-fumarate/emtricitabine is being implemented in selected sites in South Africa. Addressing outstanding questions on PrEP cost-effectiveness can inform further implementation.<bold>Methods: </bold>We calibrated an individual-based model to KwaZulu-Natal to predict the impact and cost-effectiveness of PrEP, with use concentrated in periods of condomless sex, accounting for effects on drug resistance. We consider (1) PrEP availability for adolescent girls and young women aged 15-24 years and female sex workers, and (2) availability for everyone aged 15-64 years. Our primary analysis represents a level of PrEP use hypothesized to be attainable by future PrEP programs.<bold>Results: </bold>In the context of PrEP use in adults aged 15-64 years, there was a predicted 33% reduction in incidence and 36% reduction in women aged 15-24 years. PrEP was cost-effective, including in a range of sensitivity analyses, although with substantially reduced (cost) effectiveness under a policy of ART initiation with efavirenz- rather than dolutegravir-based regimens due to PrEP undermining ART effectiveness by increasing HIV drug resistance.<bold>Conclusions: </bold>PrEP use concentrated during time periods of condomless sex has the potential to substantively impact HIV incidence and be cost-effective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00221899
Volume :
223
Issue :
8
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Infectious Diseases
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
149991202
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiz667