Back to Search Start Over

Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus.

Authors :
Agapiou, Sergios
Anastasiou, Andreas
Baxevani, Anastassia
Nicolaides, Christos
Hadjigeorgiou, Georgios
Christofides, Tasos
Constantinou, Elisavet
Nikolopoulos, Georgios
Fokianos, Konstantinos
Source :
Scientific Reports; 4/1/2021, Vol. 11 Issue 1, p1-14, 14p
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

We present different data analytic methodologies that have been applied in order to understand the evolution of the first wave of the Coronavirus disease 2019 in the Republic of Cyprus and the effect of different intervention measures that have been taken by the government. Change point detection has been used in order to estimate the number and locations of changes in the behaviour of the collected data. Count time series methods have been employed to provide short term projections and a number of various compartmental models have been fitted to the data providing with long term projections on the pandemic's evolution and allowing for the estimation of the effective reproduction number. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20452322
Volume :
11
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Scientific Reports
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
149594844
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86606-3