Zoobenthos community turnover in a 1650‐yr lake‐sediment record of climate‐driven hydrological change.

In fluctuating lake ecosystems, the severity of anthropogenic disturbance is often difficult to assess because the magnitude of natural dynamics rivals or surpasses that of ecosystem alteration due to human impact. Consequently, it is also difficult to evaluate the resilience of these ecosystems' plant and animal communities to that impact. Unfortunately, lake ecosystem response to natural cycles of lake‐level and salinity fluctuation at multi‐annual time scales is poorly understood, due to complex relationships between hydrological dynamics and the local availability or distribution of ecological niches. We present a 1650‐yr‐long paleoecological record from Lake Naivasha in Kenya (East Africa) which traces community assembly and turnover in two prominent groups of benthic invertebrates (chironomids and ostracods) in response to a climate‐driven sequence of 10 major lake‐level fluctuations. Over this time period, lake depth (inferred from sedimentology) fluctuated between ~3 and >35 m, and salinity (inferred from fossil diatom assemblages) varied between ~100 and ~23,500 µS/cm. Prior to ~780 yr ago, the unique community response to salinity was stronger than to lake depth. Around that time the lake transitioned to a more open hydrology, relatively stable freshwater conditions and greater prevalence of macrophyte‐associated benthic habitat, so that community response to variations in lake depth (and surface area) became stronger. Notably, major community restructuring in the course of this transition was not synchronous between the two groups, because it depended on the proliferation of key freshwater species in each group. Our results imply that (1) climate‐sensitive lake ecosystems are more likely controlled by salinity change if both its amplitude and frequency are large enough to induce ecological species sorting; (2) community response to such salinity changes may be predictable, and likely to show coherence across different groups of aquatic biota; and (3) the timing of major community restructuring strongly depends on the ecology of key species, and whether the species sorting is driven by salinity change itself or indirectly by the salinity‐dependent availability of ecological niches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]