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The Disappointing Properties of GLS-Based Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Structural Breaks.

Authors :
Cook, Steven
Manning, Neil
Source :
Communications in Statistics: Simulation & Computation; Aug2004, Vol. 33 Issue 3, p585-596, 12p
Publication Year :
2004

Abstract

It is well known that prior application of GLS detrending, as advocated by Elliot et al. [Elliot, G., Rothenberg, T., Stock, J. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica 64:813–836], can produce a significant increase in power to reject the unit root null over that obtained from a conventional OLS-based Dickey and Fuller [Dickey, D., Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 74:427–431] testing equation. However, this paper employs Monte Carlo simulation to demonstrate that this increase in power is not necessarily obtained when breaks occur in either level or trend. It is found that neither OLS nor GLS-based tests are robust to level or trend breaks, their size and power properties both deteriorating as the break size increases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
03610918
Volume :
33
Issue :
3
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Communications in Statistics: Simulation & Computation
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
14807011
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1081/SAC-200033390