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Is fiscal policy in the euro area Ricardian?

Authors :
Panjer, Nikki
de Haan, Leo
Jacobs, Jan P. A. M.
Source :
Empirica; May2020, Vol. 47 Issue 2, p411-429, 19p
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

We empirically determine whether a Ricardian or a non-Ricardian regime is more plausible for the euro area, following the research strategy of Canzoneri et al. (Am Econ Rev 91:1221–1238, 2001). A Vector AutoRegressive model for the primary government balance and the government debt is estimated for the period 1980q2–2013q4. Our model uses dummy interaction terms to account for the breaks due to the introduction of the Euro Convergence Criteria (ECC) and the start of the global financial crisis, respectively. No evidence is found in favour of either regime for the pre-ECC period. In the post-ECC period, a Ricardian regime is more plausible. Some evidence points in the direction of a non-Ricardian regime for the period after the start of the financial crisis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
03408744
Volume :
47
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Empirica
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
142794570
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-019-09431-y