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Identifying shocks to business cycles with asynchronous propagation.

Authors :
Trenkler, Carsten
Weber, Enzo
Source :
Empirical Economics; Apr2020, Vol. 58 Issue 4, p1815-1836, 22p, 7 Charts, 2 Graphs
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

This paper develops a methodology to investigate which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles. It unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, a lack of a common cycle between two GDPs can be traced back to at least one shock with non-collinear structural impulse responses. We apply a Wald test to the collinearity hypothesis. Empirical results on the eurozone reveal that differences in the business cycles in several peripheral countries compared to a eurozone core are triggered mainly by local shocks. Depending on the country, real or nominal shocks turn out to play a more important role. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
03777332
Volume :
58
Issue :
4
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Empirical Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
142383756
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1563-z