Optimal timing for prediction of pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with diffusion-weighted MRI in patients with esophageal cancer.

<bold>Objective: </bold>This study was conducted in order to determine the optimal timing of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) for prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for esophageal cancer.<bold>Methods: </bold>Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma who planned to undergo nCRT followed by surgery were enrolled in this prospective study. Patients underwent six DW-MRI scans: one baseline scan before the start of nCRT and weekly scans during 5 weeks of nCRT. Relative changes in mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values between the baseline scans and the scans during nCRT (ΔADC(%)) were compared between pathologic complete responders (pCR) and non-pCR (tumor regression grades 2-5). The discriminative ability of ΔADC(%) was determined based on the c-statistic.<bold>Results: </bold>A total of 24 patients with 142 DW-MRI scans were included. pCR was observed in seven patients (29%). ΔADC(%) from baseline to week 2 was significantly higher in patients with pCR versus non-pCR (median [IQR], 36% [30%, 41%] for pCR versus 16% [14%, 29%] for non-pCR, p = 0.004). The ΔADC(%) of the second week in combination with histology resulted in the highest c-statistic for the prediction of pCR versus non-pCR (0.87). The c-statistic of this model increased to 0.97 after additional exclusion of patients with a small tumor volume (< 7 mL, n = 3) and tumor histology of the resection specimen other than adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma (n = 1).<bold>Conclusion: </bold>The relative change in tumor ADC (ΔADC(%)) during the first 2 weeks of nCRT is the most predictive for pathologic complete response to nCRT in esophageal cancer patients.<bold>Key Points: </bold>• DW-MRI during the second week of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is most predictive for pathologic complete response in esophageal cancer. • A model including ΔADCweek 2was able to discriminate between pathologic complete responders and non-pathologic complete responders in 87%. • Improvements in future MRI studies for esophageal cancer may be obtained by incorporating motion management techniques. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]