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Spatial distribution of tuberculosis and its association with meteorological factors in mainland China.

Authors :
Zhang, Yingjie
Liu, Mengyang
Wu, Samuel S.
Jiang, Hui
Zhang, Junjie
Wang, Songwang
Ma, Wei
Li, Qihuan
Ma, Yuan
Liu, Yue
Feng, Wei
Amsalu, Endawoke
Li, Xia
Wang, Wei
Li, Weimin
Guo, Xiuhua
Source :
BMC Infectious Diseases; 5/3/2019, Vol. 19 Issue 1, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p, 1 Chart, 4 Maps
Publication Year :
2019

Abstract

<bold>Background: </bold>The incidence of tuberculosis (TB) remains high worldwide. Current strategies will not eradicate TB by 2035; instead, by 2182 is more likely. Therefore, it is urgent that new risk factors be identified.<bold>Methods: </bold>An ecological study was conducted in 340 prefectures in China from 2005 to 2015. The spatial distribution of TB incidence was shown by clustering and hotspot analysis. The relationship between the distribution patterns and six meteorological factors was evaluated by the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model.<bold>Results: </bold>During the 11 years of the study period, TB incidence was persistently low in the east and high in the west. Local coefficients from the GWR model showed a positive correlation between TB incidence and yearly average rainfall (AR) but a negative correlation with other meteorological factors. Average relative humidity (ARH) was negatively correlated with the incidence of TB in all prefectures (p < 0.05).<bold>Conclusion: </bold>Meteorological factors may play an important role in the prevention and control of TB. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
14712334
Volume :
19
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
BMC Infectious Diseases
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
136223026
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-4008-1