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Option Pricing of Earnings Announcement Risks.

Authors :
Dubinsky, Andrew
Johannes, Michael
Kaeck, Andreas
Seeger, Norman J
Source :
Review of Financial Studies; Feb2019, Vol. 32 Issue 2, p646-687, 42p
Publication Year :
2019

Abstract

This paper uses option prices to learn about the equity price uncertainty surrounding information released on earnings announcement dates. To do this, we introduce reduced-form models and estimators to separate price uncertainty about earnings announcements from normal day-to-day volatility. Empirically, we find strong support for the importance of earnings announcements. We find that the anticipated price uncertainty is quantitatively large, varies across time, and is informative about the future return volatility. Finally, we quantify the impact of earnings announcements on formal option pricing models. Received April 13, 2017; editorial decision February 5, 2018 by Editor Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08939454
Volume :
32
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Review of Financial Studies
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
133779629
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhy060