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An Investigation of Wind Direction and Speed in a Featured Wind Farm Using Joint Probability Distribution Methods.

Authors :
Zhang, Lidong
Li, Qikai
Guo, Yuanjun
Yang, Zhile
Zhang, Lei
Source :
Sustainability (2071-1050); Dec2018, Vol. 10 Issue 12, p4338, 1p
Publication Year :
2018

Abstract

Wind direction and speed are both crucial factors for wind farm layout; however, the relationship between the two factors has not been well addressed. To optimize wind farm layout, this study aims to statistically explore wind speed characteristics under different wind directions and wind direction characteristics. For this purpose, the angular–linear model for approximating wind direction and speed characteristics were adopted and constructed with specified marginal distributions. Specifically, Weibull–Weibull distribution, lognormal–lognormal distribution and Weibull–lognormal distribution were applied to represent the marginal distribution of wind speed. Moreover, the finite mixture of von Mises function (FVMF) model was used to investigate the marginal distribution of wind direction. The parameters of those models were estimated by the expectation–maximum method. The optimal model was obtained by comparing the coefficient of determination value (R<superscript>2</superscript>) and Akaike's information criteria (AIC). In the numerical study, wind data measured at a featured wind farm in north China was adopted. Results showed that the proposed joint distribution function could accurately represent the actual wind data at different heights, with the coefficient of determination value (R<superscript>2</superscript>) of 0.99. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20711050
Volume :
10
Issue :
12
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Sustainability (2071-1050)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
133752698
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3390/su10124338