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U.K. Foot and Mouth Disease: A Systemic Risk Assessment of Existing Controls.

Authors :
Delgado, João
Pollard, Simon
Pearn, Kerry
Snary, Emma L.
Black, Edgar
Prpich, George
Longhurst, Phil
Source :
Risk Analysis: An International Journal; Sep2017, Vol. 37 Issue 9, p1768-1782, 15p
Publication Year :
2017

Abstract

This article details a systemic analysis of the controls in place and possible interventions available to further reduce the risk of a foot and mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in the United Kingdom. Using a research-based network analysis tool, we identify vulnerabilities within the multibarrier control system and their corresponding critical control points (CCPs). CCPs represent opportunities for active intervention that produce the greatest improvement to United Kingdom's resilience to future FMD outbreaks. Using an adapted 'features, events, and processes' (FEPs) methodology and network analysis, our results suggest that movements of animals and goods associated with legal activities significantly influence the system's behavior due to their higher frequency and ability to combine and create scenarios of exposure similar in origin to the U.K. FMD outbreaks of 1967/8 and 2001. The systemic risk assessment highlights areas outside of disease control that are relevant to disease spread. Further, it proves to be a powerful tool for demonstrating the need for implementing disease controls that have not previously been part of the system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02724332
Volume :
37
Issue :
9
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Risk Analysis: An International Journal
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
125084252
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12704