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Modelling and estimation of HIV prevalence and number of people living with HIV in India, 2010-2011.
- Source :
- International Journal of STD & AIDS; Dec2016, Vol. 27 Issue 14, p1257-1266, 10p, 1 Diagram, 7 Graphs
- Publication Year :
- 2016
-
Abstract
- This paper provides HIV estimation methodology used in India and key HIV estimates for 2010-2011. We used a modified version of the Spectrum tool that included an Estimation and Projection Package as part of its AIDS Impact Module. Inputs related to population size, age-specific pattern of fertility, gender-ratio at birth, age and gender-specific pattern of mortality, and volume and age-gender distribution of net migration were derived from census records, the Sample Registration System and large-scale demographic health surveys. Epidemiological and programmatic data were derived from HIV sentinel surveillance, large-scale epidemiological surveys and the programme management information system. Estimated adult HIV prevalence retained a declining trend in India, following its peak in 2002 at a level of 0.41% (within bounds 0.35-0.47%). By 2010 and 2011, it levelled at estimates of 0.28% (0.24-0.34%) and 0.27% (0.22-0.33%), respectively. The estimated number of people living with HIV (PLHIV) reduced by 8% between 2007 and 2011. While children accounted for approximately 6.3% of total HIV infections in 2007, this proportion increased to about 7% in 2011. With changing priorities and epidemic patterns, the programme has to customise its strategies to effectively address the emerging vulnerabilities and adapt them to suit the requirements of different geographical regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 09564624
- Volume :
- 27
- Issue :
- 14
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- International Journal of STD & AIDS
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 119511452
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1177/0956462415612650